Experts on heart disease last week walked a tightrope between
jubilation and fear.
The excitement stems from a new study's finding that a small dose of
aspirin taken regularly cuts the rate of heart attacks -- the nation's
biggest killer -- by nearly half in a large group of healthy over-40
men.
The worry is that Americans will see aspirin as a "quick fix" for
heart disease, overlooking the study's fine print, ignoring the role of
factors such as smoking and obesity and underestimating the risks of
aspirin itself.
Of particular concern is aspirin's long-known tendency to cause
bleeding, which apparently led to a small but significant rise in the
rate of serious strokes in the new study's aspirin takers.
While calling the new findings on heart attack "striking" and "very,
very significant," Dr. Claude Lenfant, director of the National Heart,
Advertisem*nt
Lung and Blood Institute, also urged caution.
"I don't want everybody to go out to the drugstore and buy five
pounds of aspirin and start taking it every day," Lenfant said.
His caution is echoed by the researchers involved with the
aspirin-heart disease study.
"No one should go out and just start taking aspirin," said Dr.
Charles H. Hennekens, the principal investigator of the study and
associate professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School and the
Brigham and Women's Hospital in Boston.
Hennekens himself was one of the 22,071 doctors who volunteered to
participate in the aspirin study by taking a little white pill every
other day -- either a Bufferin tablet of buffered aspirin or an
identical-looking but ineffective substitute called a placebo.
Participants were not told which tablet they were receiving, and
Advertisem*nt
Hennekens learned only last week that he was in the placebo group.
To underscore the importance of consulting with a physician,
Hennekens said he would talk to his own doctor before deciding whether
to begin taking an aspirin every other day as a preventive measure
against heart attack.
"Any doctor who treats himself has a fool for a patient," Hennekens
said. The decision to take or not to take aspirin, he emphasized, should
take into account a patient's "complete risk profile."
For example, as a slightly overweight 45-year-old male, Hennekens has
a one in five statistical chance of suffering a heart attack by age 60.
It's not that simple, however. His family history includes diabetes on
his mother's side, and his father died of a heart attack at age 56 --
factors that could increase his risk.
But Hennekens has also normal blood pressure, a very low blood
Advertisem*nt
cholesterol level of 153 and, unlike his father, he does not smoke. He's
also a nationally ranked squash player in the over-40 age group.
So, given his own study's recent findings, should he start taking
aspirin to lower his risk of heart attack? "I'm going to see my doctor,"
he said.
The massive, five-year Physicians' Health Study was scheduled to end
in 1990, but the aspirin trial was halted early because preliminary
results showed a "statistically extreme beneficial effect" on heart
attack. The findings were reported in last week's New England Journal of
Medicine. A second part of the study, measuring the possible effect of a
form of vitamin A called beta-carotene on cancer risk, continues.
Heart attack is the leading cause of death in the United States,
claiming more than half a million lives a year.
Advertisem*nt
Among the physicians in the study, there were 171 nonfatal heart
attacks in the placebo group, compared with only 99 in the aspirin
group. There were 18 fatal heart attacks in the placebo group, but only
five in the group taking aspirin.
Experts cautioned that this does not mean aspirin has any effect on
the underlying process of heart disease, the narrowing of the coronary
arteries that supply the heart. What the results do suggest is that
aspirin helps prevent heart attacks by inhibiting the formation of blood
clots that can block the blood flow in a narrowed blood vessel. It does
so apparently by keeping blood particles called platelets, which are
crucial in the clotting process, from clumping together.
The group studied, though large, was not a typical cross-section of
the nation's population. It comprised healthy male physicians ranging in
Advertisem*nt
age from 40 to 84. Only 11 percent were smokers, and none was being
treated for heart disease, cancer, liver disease, kidney disease or
ulcers.
"What scares me," said Lenfant of the National Heart, Lung and Blood
Institute "is that people may not appreciate that this was a very
particular population we studied. These were physicians. They were a
very healthy, health-conscious group."
The entire group, during the nearly five years of the study, had only
88 deaths from all forms of cardiovascular disease. In a cross-section
of American males, the same-sized group would be expected to include 733
such deaths.
Despite the dramatic difference in the rate of heart attack between
the study's two groups, the death rate remained the same. Researchers
said it is logical to assume that a drop in the mortality rate would
Advertisem*nt
eventually result from the decline in heart attacks in the aspirin group
-- but perhaps not for another decade or more.
"We couldn't get any assurance on that probably until the year 2000,"
he said. Given the dramatic early results on heart attack prevention, he
said, it would have been unethical to prolong the study indefinitely in
pursuit of mortality data.
"If these were 22,000 rats in a maze {instead of physicians}, we'd
keep the study going on for 10 more years," Hennekens said.
A second study, of regular aspirin use in 5,000 British physicians,
was also reported last week and suggested a contrary finding: no effect
on the heart attack rate. But the study's own authors discounted the
significance of their finding because of the relatively small size of
the study and said the American study "carries more weight."
Advertisem*nt
Unfortunately, the same anti-clotting effect, which seems to offer
some protection against heart attacks, poses a hazard by preventing
clotting when it is needed -- for example to stop bleeding in an ulcer
or during surgery or when a blood vessel in the brain begins to leak.
"Anything that decreases the tendency to clot is going to increase the
tendency to bleed," Hennekens said.
Normally, a tiny leak, or hemorrhage, in a blood vessel in the brain
would be closed off by the normal clotting factor in the blood. But
aspirin could cause such a leak to keep bleeding enough to cause a
hemorrhagic stroke.
Hemorrhagic strokes are much more likely to be
fatal than other kinds of strokes, known as ischemic strokes. Like heart
attacks, ischemic strokes are caused by a clot or blockage in the blood
vessels. That can prevent oxygen-rich blood from reaching the brain.
Advertisem*nt
Though the total number of strokes in the study's two groups was
similar, the number of serious or fatal hemorrhagic strokes was higher
in the aspirin group than in the placebo group, by 10 to two.
"Aspirin is not the benign drug many people think it is," Lenfant
said. "You and I take a tablet when we get a headache or a hangover." As
effective as it can be for pain relief, he added, aspirin can cause or
aggravate conditions such as stomach bleeding and ulcers. In children
with fevers, it has been linked to a rare illness called Reye syndrome.
"It's not like taking a cup of tea," Lenfant said.
Lenfant said he would consider prescribing aspirin as a preventive
measure only in patients who were at above-normal risk because of other
factors.
"But first I would work on lowering your blood pressure and your
cholesterol," he said. "I might then also prescribe aspirin, but only as
part of a comprehensive regimen."
Harvard's Hennekens noted that a smoker could reduce his risk of
heart attack by 80 percent by stopping smoking -- a much bigger risk
reduction even than the 47 percent decrease from aspirin use in healthy
males in the study.
"Aspirin should never be perceived as a substitute for reducing other
risk factors," said Dr. Thomas Bryant, president of the Aspirin
Foundation, an association of companies that make and sell aspirin and
aspirin products.
The dose of aspirin in the Physicians Health Study is quite small:
one tablet every other day. But some doctors worry that consumers will
jump to the conclusion that a higher dose would be even more effective
in reducing the chance of heart attack.
"The natural inclination in this world is to believe that if a little
bit is good, a whole lot must be better," said Dr. Howard E. Morgan,
senior vice president for research at the Geisinger Clinic in Danville,
Pa., and president of the American Heart Association. "That could cause
problems."
Americans take an estimated 80 million aspirin tablets a day, and
aspirin is also an ingredient in many other nonprescription pain
relievers. Drug companies that make and sell aspirin have already
produced advertisem*nts touting the new findings as yet another reason
to consider buying their product.
Aspirin is nothing new. The pain-relieving properties of a naturally
occurring form of aspirin in willow bark were noted by the physician
Hippocrates in ancient Greece. The drug has been sold in tablet form
since 1899.
Previous studies have shown that aspirin can help protect heart
attack survivors against a second heart attack, but the Physicians'
Health Study is by far the largest ever of aspirin and heart attack and
the first in healthy people.
"It fits in quite well with our thinking about how people get heart
attacks," said Dr. Lawrence S. Cohen, professor of medicine at Yale
University School of Medicine. "It's another piece in the puzzle."
Cohen is a member of the data monitoring board that met twice a year
to review the Physicians' Health Study's ongoing results and decided
unanimously last Dec. 18 that the aspirin findings were so striking that
the study should be halted and its findings reported early.
For his own patients, Cohen said he will recommend an every-other-day
aspirin dose for healthy middle-aged or elderly men, as well as for
women and younger men who are at high risk of heart attack because of
any combination of smoking, high cholesterol, diabetes or family history
of heart disease.
Cohen said the stroke results were "a cause for concern," but he
emphasized that the numbers of strokes were "very small in comparison to
the numbers of heart attacks prevented in the study."
There were six deaths from stroke in the aspirin group, compared with
two in the placebo group.
The apparent elevated risk of stroke in the aspirin group is of
particular concern to patients with high blood pressure that is not
controlled by drugs, Cohen said.
Do the findings in the all-male study apply to women as well? It's a
pretty good hunch," Cohen said. But he pointed out that the likelihood
of benefit is less in women because the odds of suffering a heart attack
are much lower for middle-aged women.